Como’s Four-Game Winning Run Raises the Stakes in Serie A and Europe
Como are building momentum at a remarkable pace. Cesc Fabregas’ side have won four matches in a row for the second time this season, strengthening the belief that their impressive rise in Italian football could continue across both Serie A and the Champions League.
The Lariani have already collected notable victories over Napoli, Manchester United and, most recently, Torino. Their performances have combined confident possession, sharper finishing and growing composure under pressure. For supporters and anyone weighing up a football prediction, the central question is no longer simply whether Como can compete. It is how far their current form might carry them.
Odds listed at the time of publication put Como at 4.50 to finish in the Champions League league-stage top eight, 3.25 to be the highest-ranked Serie A team in that phase, and 1.50 for a top-four finish in Serie A. These prices can change, and odds are not guarantees: they reflect a market’s assessment of probability rather than a certain outcome.
A Historic European Season Has Not Slowed Como Down
Como’s 2025/26 campaign marked a major turning point for the club. After qualifying for European competition for the first time, they secured Champions League football on the final day of the season. That achievement brought prestige, but also a demanding new schedule, with travel and midweek matches testing the depth and fitness of the squad.
So far, Fabregas’ team have handled the extra workload impressively. They have suffered only two defeats across all competitions while recording eight wins. That record suggests the club’s summer planning has helped prepare the squad for a season in which domestic results and European ambitions must be balanced.
Como’s Serie A numbers also point to progress. They have scored 17 goals, five more than at the same stage last season, and collected 20 points after nine games—four more than their previous campaign’s equivalent tally. Early-season comparisons should always be treated cautiously, but the combination of improved scoring and a stronger points return gives the top-four case a solid foundation.
European results add to the optimism
Their Champions League performances have been particularly eye-catching. Como have beaten RB Leipzig and Manchester United 4-1 at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, demonstrating that their attacking approach can trouble established clubs as well as domestic opponents. With six points from their first three league-phase matches, they are currently the highest-scoring Italian side in the competition by points collected.
Upcoming fixtures against Lens and AEK Athens in November could offer opportunities to strengthen their position. A top-eight finish would be a significant achievement, since it would place Como among the league phase’s leading teams and improve their route into the knockout rounds. The challenge, however, is maintaining consistency as the schedule becomes more demanding.
Possession and Chance Creation Remain Como’s Strengths
Como’s rise is not based on a brief run of fortunate results alone. Their playing style is built around controlling the ball and creating chances through patient, coordinated attacks. Last season, they averaged 61.6% possession in Serie A, kept 19 clean sheets—the most in the division—and finished with the league’s third-best expected-goal difference at plus 28.
This season’s underlying figures suggest the same identity remains intact. Their Serie A possession average is almost unchanged at 61.7%, while they have generated 16.7 expected goals and average 6.6 shots on target per match. Those numbers indicate that Como are regularly reaching dangerous areas and testing opposing goalkeepers, rather than relying solely on isolated moments of brilliance.
The defensive picture is more complicated. Como have recorded only two league clean sheets so far, although that figure should be viewed in the context of a generally higher-scoring Serie A season. Their European data offers further encouragement: they have maintained at least 50% possession in each Champions League match, produced 6.4 expected goals across three games and conceded just 2.9 expected goals. That defensive expected-goal total ranks among the competition’s strongest early returns.
The Upcoming Tests Will Reveal Como’s True Ceiling
There are difficult obstacles ahead. In Serie A, a November trip to reigning champions Inter will provide a demanding test of Como’s ability to compete away from home against elite opposition. Their Champions League calendar also includes January meetings with Barcelona and Paris Saint-Germain, two of Europe’s leading clubs.
Those fixtures could expose the limits of a relatively young European project, particularly if injuries or fatigue begin to affect Fabregas’ options. Yet Como have already shown they can perform against high-profile opponents. Their more immediate priority may be to keep collecting points against teams they are expected to beat, turning a promising start into a sustained challenge.
That consistency is important when considering any football prediction. A strong performance against a major club can attract attention, but league campaigns are often shaped by how reliably a team handles less glamorous matches. Como’s victories over Torino and other domestic opponents have helped them build a position from which they can pursue ambitions on two fronts.
What the Current Odds Suggest
Como’s odds for a top-four Serie A finish have shortened considerably. Before the season, they were reportedly given less than a 30% implied chance of reaching the Champions League places, following a previous campaign in which expectations were more modest. They are now priced at 1.50 for a top-four finish, making them odds-on in that market.
That shift reflects more than their winning streak. The club invested approximately €100 million during the 2025/26 season, strengthening the squad and supporting its long-term project. Their progress also shows how quickly market expectations can change when results, performances and underlying statistics point in the same direction.
Como are also being discussed as potential challengers near the top of the table, alongside Roma, with Inter still viewed as a major obstacle. A Scudetto challenge may be difficult given the demands of European football, but the market assigns them an implied probability of around 22% to finish second in Serie A. That is an ambitious assessment, though their current form has made the conversation more credible than it might have seemed earlier in the campaign.
Can the Lariani Keep Their Momentum?
Como still have to face struggling Venezia before their meeting with Inter, while favourable Champions League fixtures could help them add to their points tally. If they take advantage of those opportunities, their prices in several outright markets may shorten further. That possibility is one reason some observers see value in assessing the team before the most difficult matches arrive.
Three additional Champions League wins would put Fabregas’ side in a strong position to challenge for a top-eight finish, although the later games against Barcelona and PSG will be difficult to predict. Como could also benefit if those opponents have already secured qualification by January, but scheduling context and team selection would matter greatly.
For now, the evidence is encouraging: Como are scoring more, controlling possession and producing competitive European performances. Their squad depth and tactical clarity have helped them adapt to a higher level, while the coming weeks will show whether their four-match winning streak is a springboard or a temporary peak. Either way, the Lariani have become one of the most compelling stories in Italian football—and a team worth watching closely in both Serie A and Europe.
